Sunday, October 31

Great day yesterday. Ate at TJ Ribs, home of Billy Cannon's 1959 Heisman Trophy, and saw my Tigers beat Vanderbilt.

LSU, as a college campus, isn't terribly conservative during the week, but on football weekends it's definitely Bush country. David Vitter was (smartly) out campaigning among the hordes of tailgaters yesterday afternoon.

In Louisiana, we have a blessedly unique open primary system that pits the top two vote-getters under 50% in a runoff and, love it or hate it, never fails to give us some interesting races. Perhaps the most famous was 1991's gubernatorial runoff between Edwin Edwards and David Duke - Grand Larceny vs. Grand Wizard - both of whom have recently spent time in prison. Thank God I wasn't old enough to vote.

Up until several weeks ago, the general sentiment seemed to be that Vitter would coast into a runoff against one of his two main Democratic opponents: Rep. Chris John or State Treasurer John Kennedy. But poll numbers of late have shown Vitter's numbers creeping toward the magic 50% number. Most recently, a poll by Verne Kennedy of Market Research Insight put Vitter at 47%, John at 21%, and Kennedy at 15%, with 14% undecided. I suspect that nearly all of the undecideds are Democrats, though, because Vitter is the only Republican in the race.

I heard speculation in one of my classes that if Bush reaches around 56% in Louisiana (very plausible), he could sweep Vitter into office without a runoff. The latest poll has Bush up in Louisiana 50-38. The runoff, if necessary, would be Dec. 4.

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